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Sep 26, 2012
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who's better equipped to deal with the deficit and debt. the more they play to the religious right on social issues, the more they risk alienating these centrist voters. >> did you disagree? >> absolutely. the latest polls show that people trust obama more now with the economy. this economy issue solely is a losing issue for romney as the economy improves, but also it fails to reck thiz people care about other things other than just the economy. >> pastor jeffers, if i may, i was making the distinction about not just the economy, but deficit and debt. so, i appreciate your desire to have your nominee really focus on playing to the base in the religious right. that is your prerogative, but you can't rewrite polls to say that's a winning strategy when it comes to reaching out. >> what i'm saying to you is that i think the hunt for these elusive independent or undecided voters out there is going to be a losing strategy. it was in 2008 for john mccain. i think it will be this time. i'm not saying he has to make these social issues the heart of
who's better equipped to deal with the deficit and debt. the more they play to the religious right on social issues, the more they risk alienating these centrist voters. >> did you disagree? >> absolutely. the latest polls show that people trust obama more now with the economy. this economy issue solely is a losing issue for romney as the economy improves, but also it fails to reck thiz people care about other things other than just the economy. >> pastor jeffers, if i may, i...
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Sep 28, 2012
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going on the deficit. >> yes 10 trillion . i don't know how we are going to pay for this . inheritance and his successor is going it inherit a problem. >> gretchen: this is before obama care? >> thos a great point. we had massive stimulus and everything and category of spending going up yet, the big bills of obama care comes later and hasn't showed up yet. and even the democrats who run the congressional budget office said that will cost 1.7 tril yen if a decade. >> gretchen: coming up next. tragedy trikes in hollywood. katie perry exboyfriend now dead after murdering his land lady and dying misterously. >> writing a letter and you will not believe what got him in return. ♪ note ♪ i have retired from doing this one thing that i loved. now, i'm going to be able to have the time to explore something different. it's like another chapter. boproductivity up, costs down, thtime to market reduced... those are good things. upstairs, they will see fantasy. not fantasy... logistics. ups came in, analyzed our supply chain, inventory
going on the deficit. >> yes 10 trillion . i don't know how we are going to pay for this . inheritance and his successor is going it inherit a problem. >> gretchen: this is before obama care? >> thos a great point. we had massive stimulus and everything and category of spending going up yet, the big bills of obama care comes later and hasn't showed up yet. and even the democrats who run the congressional budget office said that will cost 1.7 tril yen if a decade. >>...
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Sep 25, 2012
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dollar deficit. it brings in 8divide million from the rich and you still have 913 billion of red ink . and you can crazy and trash the millionaires and take every red cent they earn . every millionaire will have the entire income confiscated. you trash the institution and confiscate the red cent and you bring in 839 billion. >> steve: you are way short. >> brian: we are short a trillion every year. >> you don't have a taxing problem. this is a spending problem. it is solved by reducing spend reforming entitlements over the long term. taxing the rich will make barely any difference . it is a political slogan. >> steve: right now the president wants to get reelected so he has the key to air force one. >> he thinks that if you tax the rich that brings in votes. >> steve: we are talking about increasing the taxes on the rich. what people forget about. taxes for everyone are scheduled to go up next year. >> yes, they will. >> steve: everybody is going to get whacked. >> if you made a list of all of the ta
dollar deficit. it brings in 8divide million from the rich and you still have 913 billion of red ink . and you can crazy and trash the millionaires and take every red cent they earn . every millionaire will have the entire income confiscated. you trash the institution and confiscate the red cent and you bring in 839 billion. >> steve: you are way short. >> brian: we are short a trillion every year. >> you don't have a taxing problem. this is a spending problem. it is solved by...
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Sep 26, 2012
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do we want four more years of trillion dollar deficits? i don't believe we can afford four more years like the last four years. lou: a new report highlights governor rome -- governor romney's criticisms showing household incomes fell by an average rate of more than 8%. the census bureau revealing the number of people in poverty rose by 3 million in the first three years of the obama administration. we'll take all of that here tonight with former economic adviser to president reagan, economists, author laffer, and digital politics editor, and former bush adviser brad blakeman to separate facts from fiction in the world of presidential polls and strategies. early voting has presidential votes cast in more than half the country by next week. shannon has our report. the president's poll numbers in ohio getting a boost from stronger economic numbers, but there's head winds pressuring the campaign. the white house chief correspondent, ed henry, reports. >> since early voting starts tuesday here in ohio, it was a familiar script for president oba
do we want four more years of trillion dollar deficits? i don't believe we can afford four more years like the last four years. lou: a new report highlights governor rome -- governor romney's criticisms showing household incomes fell by an average rate of more than 8%. the census bureau revealing the number of people in poverty rose by 3 million in the first three years of the obama administration. we'll take all of that here tonight with former economic adviser to president reagan, economists,...
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Sep 28, 2012
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cut the deficit and raise the tax rates on upper incomes of successful businesses, guess what it has not worked so far. if it was going to work, it would have already worked. so is this really obama's version of economic patriotism? let's talk. here's jimmy william and cnbc contributor of the american enterprise institute. what is so bloody patriotic about tax hikes, spending increases, regulatory increases and a lousy, worst economy since 1947? >> i'm worried what we will see in 2013 if the president wins is an economic patriot act. and part of it will be dramatically higher taxes on wealthier americans, entrepreneurs. anyone who thinks the end of the obama tax hikes are going to be raising it back to the clinton levels are crazy. you are going to see surtaxes, surtaxes on corporations. there's no way the obama spending numbers work without dramatically higher taxes far above what we saw in the clinton years. >> one of these things has my goat. obama talks about cutting tuition, you can't cut tuition if you expand student loans, is inflated tuition costs across the country and creat
cut the deficit and raise the tax rates on upper incomes of successful businesses, guess what it has not worked so far. if it was going to work, it would have already worked. so is this really obama's version of economic patriotism? let's talk. here's jimmy william and cnbc contributor of the american enterprise institute. what is so bloody patriotic about tax hikes, spending increases, regulatory increases and a lousy, worst economy since 1947? >> i'm worried what we will see in 2013 if...
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>> do we want four more years of trillion dollar deficits? >> know. >> i don't believe we can afford four more years like the last four years and the reason i believe after the debates and after the cam panes and after all the ads are over, the people of ohio are going to say loud and clear on november 6th, we can't afford four more years. we must do better. [cheers and applause] bill: you can watch this speech. it steams life on foxnews.com as the rally continues there in westerville, ohio. martha: fire and protests in the streets of europe. listen to some of this. [shouting]. those are the scenes with riot police out in force in the streets of the city of madrid. clashing with hooded protesters there. tens of thousands of demonstrators have taken to the streets according to reports on the ground there. they're angered at another round of steep budget cuts that have come down. a default is the concern here and that could sink europe's economy and could sink ours as well, many economists believe if it comes to that. amy kellogg joins me live
>> do we want four more years of trillion dollar deficits? >> know. >> i don't believe we can afford four more years like the last four years and the reason i believe after the debates and after the cam panes and after all the ads are over, the people of ohio are going to say loud and clear on november 6th, we can't afford four more years. we must do better. [cheers and applause] bill: you can watch this speech. it steams life on foxnews.com as the rally continues there in...
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Sep 28, 2012
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unveils steep tax hikes on businesses and the country's wealthy as it seeks to cut the nation's budget deficit. >> in formula one, team mercedes is not going to renew michael schumacher's contract after the season is over. german chancellor angela merkel will have a formidable challenger when she seeks reelection next year. it has been announced that former finance minister peer steinbruck will be running to oppose her. >> is a sharp-witted and sharp- tongued opponent. his candidacy was announced earlier today in berlin. >> he is the spd star right now after the two other contenders made way for him. the parliamentary leader refused to run a second time, and party leader did not think he would attract enough votes, so steinbruck is said to compete against his onetime ally angela merkel for the chancellorship. >> i accept the challenge to take the spd to victory in the next election. that is our goal. we want to oust this government. >> steinbruck says he wants to head a social democrat green coalition. he has a degree in economics and is known for pragmatism and expertise in fiscal policy. he
unveils steep tax hikes on businesses and the country's wealthy as it seeks to cut the nation's budget deficit. >> in formula one, team mercedes is not going to renew michael schumacher's contract after the season is over. german chancellor angela merkel will have a formidable challenger when she seeks reelection next year. it has been announced that former finance minister peer steinbruck will be running to oppose her. >> is a sharp-witted and sharp- tongued opponent. his candidacy...
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Sep 26, 2012
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, debt and deficit given that we have the employment crisis and much of the reason is the new look at the states they thought of as a target of violent hampshire this is just an issue that resume sit it is almost a kind of psychic quality that resonates and i think that that is one thing to keep in mind and you have these kind of strands that do not always come here and a way that works for you if you are a candidate so that is wanting to keep in mind. it's interesting to think about when you have this kind of stagnation for the high end but a broad swath of the electorate. what does it mean. one thing it means is this not enrollment in the last two or three years to get medicaid. when bill clinton gave a talk at the democratic national convention to was incredibly shrewd because he didn't talk about medicare they talk about medicare it's a real wedge into the numbers between the two campaigns. a really is medicaid and it's a lot of white working-class folks as well as the underrepresented minority backgrounds as well. so, i think that when you think about how the republicans need to
, debt and deficit given that we have the employment crisis and much of the reason is the new look at the states they thought of as a target of violent hampshire this is just an issue that resume sit it is almost a kind of psychic quality that resonates and i think that that is one thing to keep in mind and you have these kind of strands that do not always come here and a way that works for you if you are a candidate so that is wanting to keep in mind. it's interesting to think about when you...
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. >> they came to narrow the deficit next year to 3% of national output -- date came to narrow the deficit next year. >> among the measures -- a temporary 75% income tax on earnings over 1 million euros. business also faces cuts in tax breaks. the prime minister presented the 2013 budget. >> this is a budget for social justice. and it is a budget for growth. it prepares us for the future. it is a courageous and responsible budget. >> the package includes public spending cuts of 10 billion euros. france's economy is in a precarious position. second quarter gdp was stagnant, and unemployment has just talked 3 million -- topped 3 million. the government is aiming to make good on election promises while making sure austerity does not hit france into recession -- tip france into recession. >> spanish banks will need 59 billion euros to get back on their feet according to a new report commissioned by the spanish government. >> that will help take pressure off the prime minister, who is seeking to avoid a bailout. spain says they will ask for around 40 billion euros of the total sum, while the re
. >> they came to narrow the deficit next year to 3% of national output -- date came to narrow the deficit next year. >> among the measures -- a temporary 75% income tax on earnings over 1 million euros. business also faces cuts in tax breaks. the prime minister presented the 2013 budget. >> this is a budget for social justice. and it is a budget for growth. it prepares us for the future. it is a courageous and responsible budget. >> the package includes public spending...
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Sep 27, 2012
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for a country, virtue is to have your balance of payments, if anything, in surplus, not in deficit. now, the anglo-saxons are more accustomed to think in systemic terms what happens if each country is as virtuous as germany is? what happens to global demand then and so on and so forth? aren't these cultural aspect glz they are, indeed. >> but they determine everyday policy, if not politics. >> rose: when you look at th the-- has dealing with this crisis and having it on the front burner perhaps not led to, you know, the end of the euro zone, as some people feared, certainly the membership in part of the euro zone, but may very well have given some momentum to monetary and fiscal and even political union? >> definitely. definitely. the man who found-- founded the concept of the european union in the late 40s and 50s, john monet. >> rose: a frenchman. >> said that the integration of europe will grow through crisis. and he was very right. also in that respect. because you see, when we have a serious crisis like undoubtedly the euro zone crise has been, you either accept the distraction
for a country, virtue is to have your balance of payments, if anything, in surplus, not in deficit. now, the anglo-saxons are more accustomed to think in systemic terms what happens if each country is as virtuous as germany is? what happens to global demand then and so on and so forth? aren't these cultural aspect glz they are, indeed. >> but they determine everyday policy, if not politics. >> rose: when you look at th the-- has dealing with this crisis and having it on the front...
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Sep 30, 2012
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if only the deficit, with the replacement refs or. >> someone where must have stood up for the replacement refs, never saw that paul ryan and barack obama agreed this should happen. >> we have the wisconsin governor scott walker, tough on the unions, coming out in favor of the referee union. >> absolutely. and wonderful field day for cartoonists, marvellous car as soon as, drawings of new signals for referees who have replacement referees who have no special memory or let somebody else try it. and great cartoons, but, yeah, no debate here. >> rick: kirsten was this political pandering, all of these politicians right before election day coming out and rallying around, i guess, so of a no-brainer cause? >> it seems no-brainer, i don't ever pretend to know anything about sports or related to sports. i don't want to give analysis. >> oh, let's pick up on that, time magazine called it the pander bowl in terms of obama's remarks, he never answers shouted out questions, but there there's something good out of this. i think we ought to consider replacement journalists, anchors and networks new yor
if only the deficit, with the replacement refs or. >> someone where must have stood up for the replacement refs, never saw that paul ryan and barack obama agreed this should happen. >> we have the wisconsin governor scott walker, tough on the unions, coming out in favor of the referee union. >> absolutely. and wonderful field day for cartoonists, marvellous car as soon as, drawings of new signals for referees who have replacement referees who have no special memory or let...
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candidates promise they will not increase taxes on the poor and middle class but will make a dent in the deficit. this evening we look at romney's plan which has been called mathematically by one group and the president and his campaign have been all over it. chief national correspondent jim angle gets out his calculator tonight. >> mitt romney's budget plan will hurt the middle class. raising taxes on the average family by up to $2,000. getting a tax break, $250,000 to multimillionaires. >> one might think from this obama ad governor romney is specifically proposing to raise middle class taxes by $2,000. but that's not true. in fact, he penaled just the opposite prompting one romney advisor to blast the notion. >> that is the biggest political lie i have ever seen in my academic career. it's not romney's plan to do that. there is nothing to suggest he would do that. pure fiction. >> $1.2 trillion in tax deductions are claimed every year. everything from home mortgage interest to hundreds of millions and more arcane deductions. romney pledged to lower taxes by 20% for everyone. keep it revenue n
candidates promise they will not increase taxes on the poor and middle class but will make a dent in the deficit. this evening we look at romney's plan which has been called mathematically by one group and the president and his campaign have been all over it. chief national correspondent jim angle gets out his calculator tonight. >> mitt romney's budget plan will hurt the middle class. raising taxes on the average family by up to $2,000. getting a tax break, $250,000 to multimillionaires....
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>> by responsibly dealing with these deficits and leaving money to invest. education, research and development. >> those aren't specific proposals. i'm asking -- >> 100,000 new math and science teachers. we need that. >> that's a goal, right? >> educating training 2 million new workers in our community colleges in conjunction with business to fill jobs that are open right now. boosting american manufacturing by ending the tax break that sends jobs overseas and giving tax incentives to companies that start manufacturing businesses here. these are specific tangible proposals and i believe they will pass because i believe the american people are supportive of that. >> but they haven't passed. >> the verdict will be rendered november 6. megyn: joining me now mark hannah, former aid to john kerry and barack obama. kevin, your chots on that exchange? >> that was a revealing look inside the best talking points that president obama has by his top spokesperson on the campaign frame beside himself. if you can't get more prekay tough than education, green energy, resea
>> by responsibly dealing with these deficits and leaving money to invest. education, research and development. >> those aren't specific proposals. i'm asking -- >> 100,000 new math and science teachers. we need that. >> that's a goal, right? >> educating training 2 million new workers in our community colleges in conjunction with business to fill jobs that are open right now. boosting american manufacturing by ending the tax break that sends jobs overseas and...
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Sep 30, 2012
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so as a deficit, romney has a plan but it's a secret. the republican party has imposed a new kind of political correctness on their leaders. they cannot speak certain words, taxes, speculate about certain ideas, a path to citizenship, because these are forbidden. romney has tried to run a campaign while not running afoul of his party's strictures. as for himself he's twisted himself into a pretzel, spoken vacuously. that's a straightjacket even peggy noonan's eloquence can't get him out of this. for more on this, read my "washington post" column this week on cnn.com. >>> for eight years mahmoud ahmadinejad has come to the u.n. general assembly and every time he's caused controversy, making accusations. veiled threats. this year was different. it was mostly platitudes about world peace but he had plenty of sharp comments in a series of interviews. his conversation with me was his final one. perhaps his final one on the world stage. you see, iran's election law says he can't run again and elections are set for 2013. so i asked him about is
so as a deficit, romney has a plan but it's a secret. the republican party has imposed a new kind of political correctness on their leaders. they cannot speak certain words, taxes, speculate about certain ideas, a path to citizenship, because these are forbidden. romney has tried to run a campaign while not running afoul of his party's strictures. as for himself he's twisted himself into a pretzel, spoken vacuously. that's a straightjacket even peggy noonan's eloquence can't get him out of...
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Sep 25, 2012
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if we elect politicians who go to washington dc and say look at the debt and deficit and say that we can't continue this anymore, we have to cut back on these programs, what we are going to see is a competition among the takers and the makers and greece in the process we have seen in europe, i am afraid, will come to america. cheryl: cheryl: kyle, thank you so much. thank you, coyote. meanwhile, let me ask you this. the circuit have what it takes to succeed in college? more than half of high school graduations do not. that is according to a new college survey. the sats failed to combine the indicator of kids to succeed. it should be called action. coming at the end of the hour, we are looking at how to fix these problems at an early age. also, still to come, help is on the way for stay-at-home moms. has the housing market hit bottom? a new report says that things are actually looking up want to try to crack it? yeah, that's the way to do it! now we need a little bit more... a little bit more vanilla? this is great! [ male announcer ] at humana, we believe there's never been a better
if we elect politicians who go to washington dc and say look at the debt and deficit and say that we can't continue this anymore, we have to cut back on these programs, what we are going to see is a competition among the takers and the makers and greece in the process we have seen in europe, i am afraid, will come to america. cheryl: cheryl: kyle, thank you so much. thank you, coyote. meanwhile, let me ask you this. the circuit have what it takes to succeed in college? more than half of high...
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joe biden campaigned in florida where he argued the obama administration inherited a trillion dollar deficit from the bush administration >>> that the two wars on a credit card without paying a penny >>> president obama and mitt romney tucker downed cramming for next week's debate showdown both sides work hard to lower expectations by praising their opponent. romney says the president has the advantage is one of the talented political communicators in modern history obama says romney has the edge to betting about two dozen times during the republican primary >>> in the both have ample experience debating but gov. romney has more practice recently >>> she runs the annenberg center at university of pennsylvania >>> in the challenger has the opportunity to challenge she is competent to stand his own against the president a challenger who accomplishes that wins the first debate >>> jamison says hope candidates called for a big moment that candidates remember like john mccain said bonn from a plumber that question president obama >>> john mccain alluded to joe the plumber and that barack obama wo
joe biden campaigned in florida where he argued the obama administration inherited a trillion dollar deficit from the bush administration >>> that the two wars on a credit card without paying a penny >>> president obama and mitt romney tucker downed cramming for next week's debate showdown both sides work hard to lower expectations by praising their opponent. romney says the president has the advantage is one of the talented political communicators in modern history obama says...
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Sep 25, 2012
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higher deficits can do more damage. you know, the fact is, right now, i would recommend president obama use it in the debate. it is one of the reasons why we have the deficits. that is what they are doing. and so there is not corporate revenue being taxable revenue. the president's plan has been a little bit of moving pieces. they cut the rate to 28%. the president's position is that we should start from the position. we have the lowest corporate revenue to gdp that you could imagine with the highest rate. it is a five alarm fire at the way to address that is to increase taxes. >> i wanted to have a follow-up. i heard the interview last night, playing upper income and middle and come. -- income. they would not see their taxes changed overall. he talked about loopholes but did not go into specifics. help us understand what the dividing line is between middle income and upper income in his mind. >> i am not a psychic, it is not a conversation i have had. it is definitely where you draw the line between upper and middle in
higher deficits can do more damage. you know, the fact is, right now, i would recommend president obama use it in the debate. it is one of the reasons why we have the deficits. that is what they are doing. and so there is not corporate revenue being taxable revenue. the president's plan has been a little bit of moving pieces. they cut the rate to 28%. the president's position is that we should start from the position. we have the lowest corporate revenue to gdp that you could imagine with the...
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so, you know, i'm hearing a lot about the successes, in some respects i'm hearing about the deficits, but i think it might be useful to sort of reverse the roles a little bit. so where do you see the greatest deficits in terms of what congress needs to do to be more open and transparent? what's the next big thing or the next two big things that they need to do only out of fairness so they can be ready, i'm going to ask similarly, i mean, you can identify deficits if you so desire, but it'd be helpful to identify where in the last two or four years have you seen the greatest positive change as well? so i'll start with -- >> sure. you know, i'm actually going to key off of some to have stuff that, some of the work jim's done over the years. um, you know, what we, what we're doing well right now is we're providing sort of common documents and fairly common, easy-to-produce formats. and we're doing that better than average, better than we have in years past. what we're not doing very well is sort of providing some of this metadata that would be useful to folks like jim or you all or folks
so, you know, i'm hearing a lot about the successes, in some respects i'm hearing about the deficits, but i think it might be useful to sort of reverse the roles a little bit. so where do you see the greatest deficits in terms of what congress needs to do to be more open and transparent? what's the next big thing or the next two big things that they need to do only out of fairness so they can be ready, i'm going to ask similarly, i mean, you can identify deficits if you so desire, but it'd be...
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the reason was if he made them a permit, you would bust the deficit. it is time to let those tax cuts expire for those making more than $500,000. if they go back to where they were, we were in belt largest expansion in the history of the united states. fix medicare. allow negotiations for prescription drugs. that will save $240 billion over 10 years, and finally, takeaway subsidies from the big oil companies. they are very profitable, but they do not need our help. what you end up with then is not a $1 trillion problem. you end up with a problem in the $200 billion range. raising the ceiling, a default for the nation. he spoke out against the fairfax chamber and other chambers, and now he is saying, "wait a minute. we cannot make cuts." when he is running as the guy who wants to make cuts. he has more sides then a rubik cube. >> what your so-called plan would do to jobs. i think you should be taking into account what the impact is on jobs, and our economy, which is a major, major concern. you talked about bob mcdonnell and eric cantor. what they did wa
the reason was if he made them a permit, you would bust the deficit. it is time to let those tax cuts expire for those making more than $500,000. if they go back to where they were, we were in belt largest expansion in the history of the united states. fix medicare. allow negotiations for prescription drugs. that will save $240 billion over 10 years, and finally, takeaway subsidies from the big oil companies. they are very profitable, but they do not need our help. what you end up with then is...
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. >> we face two deficits in this country. of course everybody is worried about the federal funding deficit . >> the transportation department couldn't say how much of the money would have gone to bay area project. it has not yet decided on how to divide the remaining funds . >> in san francisco, construction crews have found buried pieces of the old san francisco city hall that was destroyed during the 1906 quake. rob roth is in the city and say what they found and also why there are no plans to dig it up. >> reporter: for history buffs its like a piece of buried treasure. to get focused behind me is the current city hall. over here with the asian art museum that was the old city hall that took up a block across what's now hyde street to that february. beyond that where that dirt is that's where a piece of history was found. work crews were about to plant new trees. >> they found they kept hitting brick. >> reporter: these. they are part of the foundation of what was once san francisco's city hall. destroy bid the 1906 quake.
. >> we face two deficits in this country. of course everybody is worried about the federal funding deficit . >> the transportation department couldn't say how much of the money would have gone to bay area project. it has not yet decided on how to divide the remaining funds . >> in san francisco, construction crews have found buried pieces of the old san francisco city hall that was destroyed during the 1906 quake. rob roth is in the city and say what they found and also why...
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. >> another vulnerability for the president may be the deficit. he promised to cut it in half by the end of his term but it's now topped $1 trillion for four straight years. the "new york times" cbs news poll found in ohio, romney has a slim four-point lead on the deficit. today, the "washington post" fact checkers gave the president four pinocchios for claiming on cbs' "60 minutes" 90% of the boost in deficit came from leftover bush policies. >> we took emergency actions. that accounts for 10% of this increase in the deficit. >> now the economy is front and center one week from tonight at the first presidential debate. two days later the president gets a september jobs report. interesting a moment ago he told the crowd he wants to export more jobs. quickly correcting himself and said he wants to export more products and joked i was channeling my opponent there. bret? >> bret: standing next to carl are you? it looks like carl's backdrop. ed henry -- >> very similar. >> bret: thank you very much. now to the international news. close circuit video o
. >> another vulnerability for the president may be the deficit. he promised to cut it in half by the end of his term but it's now topped $1 trillion for four straight years. the "new york times" cbs news poll found in ohio, romney has a slim four-point lead on the deficit. today, the "washington post" fact checkers gave the president four pinocchios for claiming on cbs' "60 minutes" 90% of the boost in deficit came from leftover bush policies. >> we...
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Sep 28, 2012
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all those same polls that show president obama leading and claims to correct the bias, turning romney deficits into commanding romney leads. the idea behind is it simple. all polls base the outcome on what pollsters believe the electorate will look like, how many democrats versus how many republicans they think will actually turn out. getting that partisan makeup wrong can tilt the predictions. the people that don't believe the polls say this time, pollsters think the 2012 electorate will look a lot like 2008 and this they say is wrong. notice i said this time. back in 2004, democrats complained that the polls which showed george w. bush leading were overestimating the number of republicans who would vote. they were wrong. the polls were right. in 2000, al gore said don't believe the polls, polls showed him losing narrowly. polls were right. in fact, it's hard to find an example of the polls on average getting it wrong unless you go back to 1948, when they predicted thomas dewey defeated president harry truman. cnn political contributor ari fleischer joins us. he's an occasionally unpaid commu
all those same polls that show president obama leading and claims to correct the bias, turning romney deficits into commanding romney leads. the idea behind is it simple. all polls base the outcome on what pollsters believe the electorate will look like, how many democrats versus how many republicans they think will actually turn out. getting that partisan makeup wrong can tilt the predictions. the people that don't believe the polls say this time, pollsters think the 2012 electorate will look...
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Sep 29, 2012
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electorate like new hampshire is very independent minded, very flinty, cares a great deal about the deficit and taxes, even there he hasn't gained any advantage, despite being associated with the ryan plan. >> dante, if governor romney comes out big wednesday, if there's some big, bold new policy introduced at the debate in denver, how does that play? >> it may give romney a second chance. i think romney really needs to have a clear victory next week to throw new hampshire back into the mix. i mean, certainly, there is still some volatility here. no one's saying it's over here in new hampshire, but i think the thing is, new hampshire's behaving just like it did four years ago. nothing in the past four years has changed new hampshire's essential character as this democratic-leaning bellwether. >> last question here, ten seconds. we know that the state has been inundated with tv and web ads, obviously. talk to me really quickly about the ground game for governor romney. how would you characterize the governor's ground game in new hampshire? >> you know, it's somewhat -- it compares to obama,
electorate like new hampshire is very independent minded, very flinty, cares a great deal about the deficit and taxes, even there he hasn't gained any advantage, despite being associated with the ryan plan. >> dante, if governor romney comes out big wednesday, if there's some big, bold new policy introduced at the debate in denver, how does that play? >> it may give romney a second chance. i think romney really needs to have a clear victory next week to throw new hampshire back into...